Homeland Security News 新闻国土安全部

Chakib Khelil, OPEC’s president, delivered on Monday a gloomy forecast: economic factors could drive oil to $200.哈利勒，欧佩克主席，在星期一令人沮丧的预测：经济因素可能推动油价到200美元。 Terrorist attack of the oil tanker at one of the oil shipping choke points may put world to the brink of economic crisis.恐怖袭击事件的油轮上的石油航运窒息点可能使世界濒临经济危机。 A handful of oil choke points are of strategic importance for the global energy supply.少数石油窒息点是具有战略意义的全球能源供应。 Geographical constraints make them vulnerable to the terrorist attack.地域的限制使他们容易受到恐怖袭击。

What would be the daily costs of congestion in the strategic oil choke points at current oil prices approaching $120 a barrel?什么是每日费用挤塞战略石油窒息点，目前的石油价格接近120美元每桶？

• Congestion of the Strait of Hormuz will cost $ 2 Bln a day in undelivered oil costs拥塞的霍尔木兹海峡将耗资20亿一天未石油价格
• Congestion of the Strait of Malacca will cost $ 1.4 Bln a day in undelivered oil costs拥挤的马六甲海峡将耗资14亿一天未石油价格
• Congestion of the Suez Canal and Sumed Pipeline will cost $ 0.5 Bln a day in undelivered oil costs拥塞的苏伊士运河和总结管道将耗资$ 0.5亿一天未石油价格
• Congestion of the Bosporus will cost $ 0.4 Bln a day in undelivered oil costs拥挤的博斯普鲁斯海峡将耗资$ 0.4亿一天未石油价格
• Congestion of the Bab el-Mandeb will cost $ 0.36 Bln a day in undelivered oil costs拥塞的巴布埃及曼德将花费0.36美元亿一天未石油价格
• Congestion of the Panama Canal will cost $ 60 Mln a day in undelivered oil costs拥塞巴拿马运河将耗资6000万一天未石油价格

However, should any of these events happen, the price of oil will jump above $200 a barrel.然而，如果上述任何事件发生，油价将增加200美元以上一桶。

Sources: 来源：
Federal Efforts Needed to Address Challenges in Preventing and Responding to Terrorist Attacks on Energy Commodity Tankers , Maritime Security, GAO Report, 2007 联邦的努力需要解决的挑战在预防和应对恐怖袭击能源商品油轮 ，海上安全，高的报告， 2007