Homeland Security News Domovinske sigurnosti Novosti

Chakib Khelil, OPEC’s president, delivered on Monday a gloomy forecast: economic factors could drive oil to $200. Chakib Khelil, predsjednik OPEC-a, isporuka u ponedjeljak jedan sumoran prognoza: ekonomski faktori mogli voziti ulje na 200 dolara. Terrorist attack of the oil tanker at one of the oil shipping choke points may put world to the brink of economic crisis. Terorističkih napada na tanker za naftu u jednoj od plovidbeno ulje gušiti bodova svibanj staviti svijeta na ivici ekonomske krize. A handful of oil choke points are of strategic importance for the global energy supply. A pregršt ulja gušiti boda su od strateškog značaja za globalne energetske opskrbe. Geographical constraints make them vulnerable to the terrorist attack. Geografska ograničenja čine ih podložnijima u terorističkom napadu.

What would be the daily costs of congestion in the strategic oil choke points at current oil prices approaching $120 a barrel? Što bi se dnevni troškova zagušenja u strateškim ulje gušiti bodova na trenutne cijene nafte približavaju jedan barel 120 dolara?

• Congestion of the Strait of Hormuz will cost $ 2 Bln a day in undelivered oil costs Zagušenja u Strait od Hormuz će trošak $ 2 mlrd dan u neizgovoren ulje troškovi
• Congestion of the Strait of Malacca will cost $ 1.4 Bln a day in undelivered oil costs Zagušenja u Malacca Strait će trošak od $ 1.4 mlrd dan u neizgovoren ulje troškovi
• Congestion of the Suez Canal and Sumed Pipeline will cost $ 0.5 Bln a day in undelivered oil costs Zagušenja u Sueski kanal i cjevovodni Sumed će trošak $ 0,5 mlrd dan u neizgovoren ulje troškovi
• Congestion of the Bosporus will cost $ 0.4 Bln a day in undelivered oil costs Zagušenja u Bosporus će cijene $ 0.4 mlrd dan u neizgovoren ulje troškovi
• Congestion of the Bab el-Mandeb will cost $ 0.36 Bln a day in undelivered oil costs Zagušenja u Bab el-Mandeb će trošak $ 0,36 mlrd dan u neizgovoren ulje troškovi
• Congestion of the Panama Canal will cost $ 60 Mln a day in undelivered oil costs Zagušenja na Panamski kanal će trošak $ 60 Mln dan u neizgovoren ulje troškovi

However, should any of these events happen, the price of oil will jump above $200 a barrel. Međutim, trebali bi bilo koji od tih događaja dogodilo, cijena nafte će skočiti iznad 200 dolara jedan barel.

Sources: Izvori:
Federal Efforts Needed to Address Challenges in Preventing and Responding to Terrorist Attacks on Energy Commodity Tankers , Maritime Security, GAO Report, 2007 Federalni Potrebno: Napori da se Adresa Izazovi u Sprječavanje i Odgovarajući na terorističkih napada na energiju robne tankere, za pomorsku sigurnost, General Accounting Office Report, 2007